Here's a traditional red and blue US map estimating which states the parties would carry if the election were held today.
The preparer readily admits to being a Bush supporter, but says he's trying to be objective.
This does not seem to jibe with the latest Newsweek polls, which say JFK and GWB would be in a virtual dead heat if the election were held today.
I'm frankly surprised at the widening gap in electoral votes in the trend graph. Surely that will not continue.
This is linked under POLITICS in the sidebar, as it should be interesting to watch as the election approaches.
UPDATE: The 31 JAN 04 update at that site acknowledges a shift:
Bush's margin has dwindled over the last 3 weeks. His job approval numbers are still strong, but John Kerry's rise of late has cut into the head-to-head numbers considerably. In the last week alone, the President's advantage over the Democratic candidate has been cut in half from 10 points to 5. That number is likely to fall further as soon as the next poll is released. The current data still include an NBC News / Washingon Post poll from January 12 which showed Bush leading Dean by 17%. Not counting that poll, Bush is running barely 2 points better than the Democrat. In fact, Bush trails Kerry in the last two polls released.
If people become more dissatisfied with Bush's job performance in the coming weeks, we'll see a significant move in the electoral votes toward the Democratic candidate. Several states are now within 3 or 4 points of changing hue from red to blue. The conclusion is rather obvious - Bush's standing is not nearly as good at month's end as it was when the month began. Moreover, it appears to be sinking further.
GWB may need the bounce of the bin Laden capture in September.